High-quality semiconductor leader with 30% growth, but valuation prices in near-perfect MI350 execution against NVIDIA's CUDA moat. Current price $218 reflects 15.5% premium to fair value $184.
優勢 / Strengths
Strong 32% YoY revenue growth ($7.7B Q2 2025)
Q3 guidance $8.7B (+28% YoY) shows momentum
Gross margin expanding to 54% target (from 43% Q2)
MI350 GPU launch Q4 2025 as key catalyst
Data center segment driving growth with AI/HPC demand
Diversified product portfolio (CPUs, GPUs, FPGAs)
風險 / Risks
NVIDIA dominance (80% AI GPU market share, CUDA moat)
MI350 execution risk - untested against H200/B200
Extreme valuation (Forward P/E 42.88x, no margin for error)
RSI 79.0 overbought, wait for pullback to $185-200
指標 / Indicator
數值 / Value
50日均線 / 50-Day MA
$168.68
200日均線 / 200-Day MA
$129.41
RSI (14)
79.0
Beta
None
基本面分析
基本面分數 / Fundamental Score: 55/100
Strong 32% growth but MI350 execution risk vs NVIDIA
指標 / Metric
數值 / Value
營收成長 / Revenue Growth
32.00%
盈餘成長 / Earnings Growth
N/A
ROE
N/A
負債股本比 / Debt-to-Equity
None
估值分析
詳細估值分析由分析引擎生成 / Detailed valuation analysis generated by analysis engine
選擇權策略
選擇權數據可用 / Options data available
隱含波動率 / IV: N/A%
投資建議
HOLD
HOLD for existing positions. WAIT for pullback to $185-195 before initiating new positions. Current $218 price reflects 15.5% overvaluation with RSI 79.0 overbought. Q3 earnings Nov 04 and MI350 launch Q4 are key catalysts.
信心度 / Confidence: Moderate
價格提醒
Support Level - Entry Zone
價格 / Price: $185.00
行動 / Action: Start building position (25-33% initial)
Secondary Entry - Better risk/reward
價格 / Price: $195.00
行動 / Action: Add to position (25-33%)
First Resistance - Take Profits
價格 / Price: $235.00
行動 / Action: Sell 25-33% of position
Strong Resistance - Major Profit Target
價格 / Price: $250.00
行動 / Action: Sell 33-50% of remaining
Stop Loss Level
價格 / Price: $185.00
行動 / Action: Exit all positions (-15.2% from current)
風險評估
風險評估由分析引擎生成 / Risk assessment generated by analysis engine
執行計畫
執行計畫由分析引擎生成 / Implementation plan generated by analysis engine